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Noel Maurer's avatar

For some reason, I can't access this in the Substack app when signed in! This is Noel, not some anonymous commentator.

So ... I dunno, Randy, maybe you're right. But it is not how I would bet. You may have noticed that President Trump is bleeding support. Given how low his starting approval was, you can be pretty sure that's not from liberals who voted for him.

Would the outspoken MAGA types on social media justify or deny casualties? Of course! But that's irrelevant. What you want to ask is whether the marginal (or even not-so-marginal) Trump voters would ignore it. And that's where I say no, no they wouldn't.

If I may, since our countries aren't that different (for all the silly claims otherwise), the Conservatives bled support once Trump started attacking your sovereignty. That doesn't mean that Conservative supporters suddenly gave up all their opinions! It means that they rallied around the forces of right ... and the forces of right were smart enough to appoint Mr. Carney as PM and dump the unpopular social stuff.

Maybe you're convinced that the same wouldn't happen in the USA if we suddenly invaded Panama and shot up a mass demonstration. But I would contend that you're making the mistake of assuming that Americans are a weird alien species, rather than your close cousins.

Best,

Noel

P.S. Remember, I'm a Dutch citizen, and my other countrymen voted for another blond guy with a bizarre haircut who WOULD HAVE WON had Nederland used the same voting system as the USA or Canada. And the Dutch are rather more distant from America than you are. If I may, your country has been playing with fire for the last decade, and its only a combination of President Trump and that fact that the Liberal Party is an essentially undemocratic institution willing to throw overboard the opinion of its activists what has saved you.

God bless the Liberal Party of Canada, may they continue to never believe in anything. Would that we had such a party here.

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Noel Maurer's avatar

Is anyone else having trouble seeing the comment section on these posts?

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Jan 27
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Noel Maurer's avatar

Right! But my point is that the almost-inevitable brutality against civilians would make an invasion lose domestic popularity very quickly. And that loss of popularity would include chunks of the Trumpist base.

Was that point unclear? If it was, I'll have to rewrite it!

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I should add here that my point is not that the entire Trumpist base would turn against an invasion. Heck, most would not, and the rally-around-the-flag effect means that the invasion would probably gain some support even from outside the base. But it would still not be a good idea from a domestic political standpoint.

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